Brexit Odds Latest: Remain best odds 13/8, Leave best odds 11/10
LEAVE NOW FAVOURITE
BREAKING NEWS: ODDS ON LEAVE SHORTEN OFF BACK OF OPINIUM POLL AND RESULTS IN NEWCASTLE AND SUNDERLAND.
OPINIUM POLL PUBLISHED MIDNIGHT JUNE 24TH SHOWS TOO CLOSE TO CALL. LEAVE 45%, REMAIN 44%
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IPSOS MORI POLL SHOWS 54% REMAIN AND 46% LEAVE, A LEAD OF 8% FOR REMAIN.
YOUGOV ON THE DAY POLL SHOWS 52% REMAIN and 48% LEAVE, WHICH WOULD BE A VICTORY FOR REMAIN BY 4 %.
HUGE DECISION DAY SWING TO REMAIN FOLLOWING DECISION DAY POLLS SHOWING BIG LEAD FOR REMAIN.
- This follows Populus publishing a decision day opinion poll, showing a 10 point lead for Remain, excluding Don’t Knows.
- 55% for Remain, 45% for Leave.
- A IPSOS Mori poll also published on on morning of decision day showed a 4 point lead for Remain, excluding Don’t Knows.
- 52% for Remain, 48% for Leave.
The most recent polls that have caused this recent shift back to Remain are below, including 5 published on the eve of the Vote and 2 on the day of the vote itself. Details below.
- Opinium on the day poll published at midnight on 24th June shows a 1 point lead for LEAVE.
- Remain 44%, Leave 44%
- YouGov on the day Poll (published at 10pm on 23rd June)
- Remain 52% and Leave 48%
- Populus poll published 23rd June at 10am
- Remain on 55% and Leave on 45% excluding DK’s.
- Ipsos Mori poll published 23rd June at 10am
- Remain 52% and Leave 48%
- YouGov/Times poll published 22nd June at 10.30pm
- Remain on 51% and Leave on 49% showing a 4% swing from the previous YouGov poll
- Comres/Daily Mail/ITV News poll published 22nd June at 10pm
- Remain on 48%, leave on 42% and 11% undecided
- SurveyMonkey/Washington Post online poll published on 22nd June
- Remain on 50% and Leave on 47%
- TNS poll published 22nd June late afternoon
- 43% Leave and 41% Remain, but importantly shows a 7% lead among ‘likely’ voters
- Opinum poll published 22nd June
- 44% for Remain (same) and 45% for Leave (+1). If true, it really is too close to call. All up to the 11% undecideds.
- ORB Poll for the Telegraph published on Monday evening June 20th
- 53% (up 5%) for Remain, 46% (down 3%) for Leave. A lead of 7% for Remain where definite voters are counted. This is a swing of 8% from the previous ORB poll.
- NatCen poll also published on Monday evening June 20th
- 53% for Remain and 47% for Leave. A lead of 6% for Remain.
- YouGov for the Sunday Times published on June 19th
- 44% Remain (up 4%) 43% Leave (down 3%)
- Survation for the Mail on Sunday published on June 19th
- 45% Remain and 42% Leave. This reversed a previous survation poll from last week showing Remain at 42% and Leave at 45%
- Opinium published on June 18th for the Observer
- both sides neck and neck at 44% for both Remain (+2) and Leave
The reason for the shift towards Remain?
Another set of EU Referendum Opinion polls have come out and they have shown a shift in the public’s opinion, in favour of REMAIN.
Pollsters YouGov have detected a theme, with previously undecided voters now coming out on the side of Remain.
Jessica Bridge from Ladbrokes has reported that on Monday, 95 per cent of bets had been on Remain.
As far as the money’s concerned, it looks like Brexit is beginning to fall at the final hurdle. Money talks, and it’s one-way traffic from ‘Remain’ punters.”
Anthony Wells, from polling firm YouGov, said.
“We are now in the final week of the referendum campaign and the swing back towards the status quo appears to be in full force
A week ago all the talk was about Brexit becoming betting favourite by the weekend. Not only has this not happened, the market has moved starkly in the other direction. It appears certain that going into the vote, Remain will maintain its strong favourite status.
EU Referendum Prediction from NoveltyBets Team
At this stage of the campaign it is time for us to say what we think will happen. All along we have recommending backing Leave. But that is not because we believe that Leave would win, just that the betting odds were over valued. We have now closed out are bets, where we got odds on Leave ranging from 9/4 to 4/1 for a tidy profit. We actually believe that Remain will win the vote, by an albeit small margin. But do acknowledge Leave has a chance. We liken it to a Djokovic vs Murray tennis match. You know that Djokovic is almost certainly going to win, but Murray always has a chance.
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