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So the first Eurovision Semi Final has been and gone. The big surprise of the night was Iceland not getting through to the final. You could have got odds of 3-1 on that happening before the event. Iceland had what we thought was a particularly good entry this year, and are still uncertain as to what went wrong for them (besides obviously not getting enough votes).
The qualifiers through to the final were Russia, Armenia, Hungary, Czech Republic, Malta, Netherlands, Cyprus, Croatia, Azerbaijan and Austria.
Particularly joy for the Czech Republic who have made it to the final for the first time since the Semi Finals were introduced.
Which left 8 taking an early bus/plane home. In addition to Iceland, among those are Greece, who for the first time ever failed to make it through to the final. Other countries that failed to make it through were Estonia, Bosnia, Croatia, Montenegro, Finland and Moldova.
At Novelty Bets we successfully predicted 8 out of the 10 qualifiers, with only Iceland’s surprise exit (which we suspect will have caught almost everyone out) and Bosnia’s failure, preventing a perfect record. In addition our special recommendation, to back Austria at 13/8 was successful, yielding a nice profit for anyone that followed.
We now move on to Eurovision Semi Final 2 and then the Grand Final.
Latest Overall Odds for Winning Eurovision
Following the first Eurovision Semi Final, the big impact seems to have been on the favourites Russia. Their odds have shortened sharply from best odds of 6-4 prior to the Semi Final to best odds of 5/4 available from Betfair Exchange.
You can also get a slightly less generous 11/10 from Bet365, Coral and Paddy Powerand they are already odds on with a number of bookmakers. We would not be surprised to see Russia shorten still further in the run up to the final
Ukraine, having come in to as short as best odds of 7/2 have lengthened slightly to 9/2 offered by Betfredbut are still clear second favourite.
France are still third favourite but their odds have lengthened to 37-5 offered by Betfair Exchange. They have been as short as 9/4 in the past challenging Russia for favouritism, but some lackluster rehearsals and the strength of the competition, in particular from the Ukraine, have seen them move out.